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LATEST
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Falling Exports Tip Europe’s Goods Trade Into a Fresh Deficit

Luxembourg: Europe’s traders slipped into the red in the spring, as fresh figures from Eurostat showed the euro area running a trade deficit in goods with the rest of the world where a healthy surplus stood a year earlier. The reversal points to an export engine that has lost momentum just as the wider economy struggles for traction.

The statistics office put the euro area shortfall at 7.8 billion euros in May, against a surplus of 15 billion euros in the same month of 2025. Stretch the view across the first five months of the year and the swing looks starker still, with the wider Union recording a deficit where it had banked a surplus of more than 70 billion euros over the same stretch a year before.

Weaker sales abroad drove much of the shift. Manufacturers who long relied on strong demand from overseas markets have felt orders thin out, while the cost of imported energy and components kept the bill for incoming goods stubbornly high. The result squeezed the gap between what Europe sells and what it buys from both sides at once.

The headline masks sharp national contrasts. Germany still posted a large surplus on its current account, joined by the Netherlands, Ireland and a cluster of smaller economies that continue to sell more than they buy. Those bright spots, however, no longer outweigh the drag from partners running deep deficits, leaving the bloc as a whole in negative territory.

Economists read the numbers as one more warning light on the dashboard. Output across the euro area edged lower in the first quarter, and a trade balance tipping into deficit removes a support that export-led economies have leaned on for years. When foreign demand falters, growth must come from spending at home, which has stayed cautious.

The detail matters for policymakers weighing their next moves. A shrinking trade balance feeds into the calculations behind interest-rate decisions and budget plans, since it shapes both the value of the euro and the tax revenue governments can expect. The figures also sharpen a longer debate about whether Europe’s industrial base can hold its ground against fiercer competition from Asia and the United States.

Eurostat set out the first estimates in its euro-indicators release, cautioning that early trade data often shift as later returns arrive.

Revisions could soften or deepen the picture in the months ahead. For now, the message reads plainly enough: the surplus that once defined Europe’s place in world trade has, at least for this stretch, quietly disappeared.