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Wild Birds Keep Bird Flu Alive as a New Strain Reaches Hungary

Poznań: Europe’s poultry farmers had reason to exhale this summer, but the reprieve came wrapped in a warning. A scientific report approved on 24 June by the European Food Safety Authority, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control and the EU reference laboratory for avian influenza logged 949 highly pathogenic H5 detections across thirty countries between late February and early June. The overwhelming share, 763 cases, appeared in wild birds, the reservoir that keeps the virus circulating and periodically spills it into farmyards.

The damage to commercial flocks was concentrated rather than diffuse. Europe recorded 154 poultry outbreaks in a dozen countries, and Poland alone accounted for 102 of them, roughly two thirds of the continental total. More than six million birds either died from infection or were culled to contain it, a toll that lands hardest on the dense broiler and layer operations of the country’s central and western provinces. A single confirmed case triggers protection zones, movement bans and the destruction of entire barns.

The reassuring half of the report is seasonal. Wild-bird detections had fallen to low levels by the start of June as migratory flocks dispersed and warmer weather suppressed the virus, and the agencies expect the risk to keep easing through the summer. That lull, however, is when complacency creeps in. The report is blunt that sporadic outbreaks remain possible and that biosecurity discipline cannot lapse between waves, because the autumn return of migratory birds routinely reignites the cycle.

What unsettled the scientists most was not H5 at all. For the first time, a low-pathogenic H9N2 virus of the G5.5 lineage turned up in European poultry, striking seven broiler establishments in Hungary. On its own, a low-pathogenic strain rarely causes mass mortality. The concern lies in the genetics. The Hungarian virus carried a mutation associated with a preference for binding to human-type cell receptors, the sort of adaptation virologists watch closely because it can, over time, make a bird virus better suited to mammals.

That single detail reframes the report. Avian influenza has long been treated as an agricultural and trade problem, a matter of culls, compensation and export certificates. The quiet arrival of a mammal-adapting marker in a European flock nudges it back toward the public-health column. The agencies stopped well short of alarm, stressing that no human infections were linked to the Hungarian cases and that the immediate risk to people remains low. For national capitals the practical message is continuity rather than crisis: keep surveilling wild birds through the low season, hold the line on biosecurity even as case numbers fall, and keep sequencing the viruses rather than merely counting them. The summer quiet reads less like an all-clear than an intermission.