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Riyadh Gets a Summit Date Before Europe Settles Its Gulf Offer

Muscat: The European Union will soon open its fifth diplomatic mission in the Gulf Cooperation Council, and it has chosen a capital that has spent the decade staying out of the region’s quarrels. The establishment agreement for a delegation to the Sultanate of Oman was signed this summer by the High Representative, Kaja Kallas, and her Omani counterpart, adding a post in Muscat to those already running in Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait City and Doha. It is a modest administrative act with an unusually plain strategic reading. Brussels has concluded that its Gulf policy needs full coverage rather than selective attention, and it has reached that conclusion roughly fifteen years later than the Gulf reached the equivalent conclusion about Europe.

The timing is not accidental. On 4 September the Council confirmed that the second EU-GCC summit will take place in Saudi Arabia on 24 October, co-chaired by European Council President Antonio Costa, with Commission President Ursula von der Leyen also attending. The first such summit, held in Brussels in October 2024, produced an agreement to meet every two years; this is that promise being kept. Keeping it matters, because the preceding four decades of the relationship were characterised mainly by meetings that did not happen and negotiations that did not resume.

What the EU will bring to Riyadh is harder to specify than who will be in the room. The bloc-to-bloc trade negotiation with the GCC has been dormant since 2008, and Brussels long ago accepted that the practical route runs through individual capitals. The clearest test of that route is the free trade negotiation with the United Arab Emirates, launched in the summer of 2025 as the first attempt at a comprehensive European deal anywhere in the Gulf. Abu Dhabi said publicly in July that progress was slower than in its other negotiations, and attributed the drag to what it called non-trade matters. That phrase is doing heavy lifting. It covers the sustainability and labour chapters, the human rights architecture and the conditionality language that European trade agreements now carry by design and that European ratification now requires.

The asymmetry this creates is uncomfortable for Brussels. The Emirates have concluded well over thirty economic partnership agreements, around half of them already in force, and closed negotiations with Canada in July. Gulf governments can therefore shop, and they can do so quickly, because the agreements they sign with most partners are narrow instruments that move goods and capital without asking questions about anything else. The European offer is structurally slower and structurally more intrusive, and no amount of summit choreography will change either property. The honest version of the European pitch is that the slowness buys market access on terms that survive political change across twenty-seven member states, which is a real advantage and a difficult one to sell in a region that measures negotiating success in months.

There is a second European interest that the summit will handle more quietly. Gulf sovereign wealth is one of the few large pools of patient capital that European industrial policy can plausibly attract, and the Global Gateway programme needs co-financing far beyond what the EU budget can supply. Riyadh, Abu Dhabi and Doha are aware of that need, which is precisely why investment discussions tend to arrive attached to expectations about visas, technology transfer and diplomatic positioning on regional conflicts.

A new delegation in Muscat will not resolve any of this, and it is not meant to. What it signals is that the EU intends to be present in all six GCC states continuously rather than episodically, which is a prerequisite for the kind of relationship Brussels says it wants. Whether October produces anything beyond a communique depends on a question the EU has not yet answered for itself: what it actually wants from the Gulf, and how much regulatory flexibility it is prepared to spend getting it.