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China’s Blocking Order Runs Into an October Deadline It Cannot Move

Düsseldorf: The German company that owns MediaMarkt and Saturn has spent this summer waiting on a takeover that two capitals now treat as a test case. JD.com, the Chinese online retailer, bid roughly 2.5 billion dollars for Ceconomy, a deal that would hand a Beijing-listed group control of the largest consumer electronics chain on the continent. The European Commission opened an in-depth inquiry in May under the Foreign Subsidies Regulation and pencilled in 2 October for a verdict.

On 19 August Beijing rewrote the conditions of that inquiry. Chinese authorities instructed domestic companies and individuals not to assist the Commission, describing the document requests as an exercise of undue extraterritorial jurisdiction. The blocking order repeats an almost identical instruction issued in May over the foreign subsidies file on the security screening firm Nuctech, and Chinese officials have signalled further countermeasures.

The move looks stronger than it is. The Foreign Subsidies Regulation anticipates exactly this problem. When a notifying party withholds information, the Commission may decide on the facts available to it, which in practice means it draws the least favourable reasonable inference. A blocking order therefore does not stop the clock. It removes the only evidence that could have contradicted the preliminary assessment, which flagged preferential financing, tax relief and grants traceable to Chinese state entities.

That leaves JD.com defending a subsidy allegation without the bank records that might disprove it. Brussels can prohibit the acquisition, demand structural remedies or accept commitments, and each of those routes now rests on a thinner file that tilts against the buyer. Beijing has protected a principle and weakened a company.

The collateral damage sits in Germany. Ceconomy’s shareholders agreed a price, its staff have absorbed months of uncertainty, and a prohibition would send the group back to a market with fewer bidders and a lower valuation. European sellers are learning that a Chinese offer now carries regulatory risk priced in months rather than weeks.

The October date matters beyond one merger. Brussels chose the same month as the expiry of the one-year understanding on Chinese rare earth export licences, and EU officials are travelling to China to press for progress on trade rebalancing before that window closes. High Representative Kaja Kallas may follow this autumn for a strategic dialogue with Wang Yi. Negotiators on both sides therefore carry a merger decision, a minerals truce and a rebalancing target into the same set of meetings.

June offered a friendlier script. Commerce Minister Wang Wentao came to Brussels, the two sides agreed to call each other stable and balanced key trading partners, and they launched a trade and investment consultation mechanism. Two months later Beijing is instructing its firms to ignore a European regulator. The language of partnership and the practice of confrontation now run on separate tracks.

Chinese officials have a defensible grievance. The Foreign Subsidies Regulation reaches into the balance sheets of companies headquartered outside the Union and asks about arrangements with their own government. Few states enjoy that scrutiny. The problem for Beijing is that it chose blanket refusal rather than a legal challenge before the European courts, where a Chinese firm could have contested the Commission’s reach and built a precedent.

European officials should resist reading the blocking order as proof that toughness works. The instrument functions because non-cooperation is expensive for the party that refuses. The harder question is whether Brussels wants that outcome often enough to lose Chinese investment it might otherwise welcome, and whether it has an answer ready when Beijing applies the same reasoning to a European company operating in China.